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Post by fecklessrogue on Nov 18, 2011 19:58:56 GMT -5
Well, that takes us from 30 (25 - 5) to 25 (21-4).
On the plus side, we got rid of the magic box and MrT's magic spreadsheet will soon take a dive too.
On the minus side, none of us voted for kime and they can eliminate 3 people who didn't vote for kime each night.
We should plan to vote for each other in some fashion today to take some heat off if another of us goes down. I wonder how long it will take the village to start combing the vote records.
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roman
New Member
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Post by roman on Nov 18, 2011 20:04:06 GMT -5
Spoit If you're reading this, where do our mafia kills take place in relation to the vote?
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Post by fecklessrogue on Nov 18, 2011 20:14:21 GMT -5
My moment of paranoia for the day? I read B:L's list, notice it has no mafia on it, remember how yesterday everybody had at least one mafia, and think "You're just fishing to see who jumps on the bandwagon quickly..."
Nope. Just gonna walk away for a bit, come back, and hope the village starts tearing itself apart.
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Post by shinynewtoys on Nov 19, 2011 2:19:44 GMT -5
At this early stage with 10 people having voted Jdark and Sir Fab are the vote leaders. No one really sticking out for 3rd with only a smattering of votes spread between a lot of people.
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spoit
New Member
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Post by spoit on Nov 19, 2011 5:27:00 GMT -5
Simultaneously, the vote totals are unaffected by being mafia killed
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Post by fecklessrogue on Nov 19, 2011 10:21:20 GMT -5
By my count from the box, the people who are both still alive and voted for kime at the end of day 1: TheAnonymous(1st), warban(1), Citizen(1st), Erich Zahn(1st), Bedlam(2nd), B:L(3rd)
In a nifty turn of events, both Infidel and Phyphor voted kime, so we actually narrowed the pool of "confirmed" with their deaths. Just choosing from them, I'd go Anonymous and B:L, because Anonymous has that 1st place vote body armor and B:L has a tendency to avoid eating the vote.
Of course, MrT has his community spreadsheet, so that's an option. And Void Slayer is both talkative and putting together decent lists (Feckless, Roman, wrong, wrong, Anomalous), though killing him might draw attention to that fact.
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Post by shinynewtoys on Nov 19, 2011 10:36:47 GMT -5
B:L at this rate is going to be the third place vote, and if we kill him then we lose a chance to cut down the village.
Current votes Jdarksun - 6 Sir fab - 6 B:L - 5 anomalous - 4 feckless - 4
no-one has reached the magic number of 9 yet, but only 13 people have voted
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Post by anomalousvandal on Nov 19, 2011 14:01:16 GMT -5
I think we should keep our kills to people who aren't high on everyone's radar. That could work to our advantage. If we kill someone who didn't vote for any of us the rest may think one of the people our target voted for is mafia and they'll get off track. Could it work?
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Post by shinynewtoys on Nov 19, 2011 14:50:32 GMT -5
To add confusion we should probably kill one person who has hit a lot of mafia and one who has missed us completely.
There are still 2 people tayrun and tmoiy who haven't received any votes yet.
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Post by fecklessrogue on Nov 19, 2011 15:24:51 GMT -5
I think people who haven't received votes are good to keep around. They are flying way low under the radar, and in a game without specials, that makes them easy to point a finger at.
Sidenote: I left a list of confirmed people in my post. If I go down and my mafianess is revealed, especially since I wasn't outed yet, that might be able to be used to sow confusion. Same with my questioning why we're voting for B:L.
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Post by fecklessrogue on Nov 19, 2011 15:51:35 GMT -5
Alright, so this is how I understand it working. We look at the first round, and if no one reaches the elimination threshold, we add in the second round of votes, continuing until either 3 people have reached 9 or there are no more rounds. Here are the results I have from that system as of my vote.
Round 1 Top Five: (jdarksun-4, BL-4, sir fab-3, !fivewaytie!) Round 2 Top Five: (jdarksun-6, BL-6, sir fab-5, anomalousvandal-4, cyth-3) Round 3 Top Five: (jdarksun-7, sir fab-7, BL-6, anomalousvandal-4, !fourwaytie!) Round 4 Top Five: (jdarksun-8, sir fab-7, BL-6, fecklessrogue-4, anomalousvandal-4) Round 5 Top Five: (jdarksun-8, sir fab-7, BL-6, anomalousvandal-5, fecklessrogue-4/corvidae-4)
RESULTS: JDarksun, Sir Fab, BL all eat the vote.
HOWEVER! If anyone else votes for AnomalousVandal, or two people vote for me, we will be tied with B:L. He hit the number first, but that is still a tenuous position to be in.
Question to the host: I am understanding this correctly?
Have any of us not not voted yet? Because a vote on BL and Sir Fab right now to widen the gap and prevent shenanigans would be nice, if perhaps a bit suspicious.
Maybe too suspicious.
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Post by shinynewtoys on Nov 19, 2011 16:59:18 GMT -5
I've just put in some orders for kills (Mr T and Alegis). Feel free to change
I follow your reasoning feckless.
As of SegaTai's vote Jdarksun reached 9 votes in the 5th round B:L and Sir Fab have 7 votes by the 3rd round Next largest number of votes is Anomalous and Corvidae on 5 votes.
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Post by fecklessrogue on Nov 19, 2011 17:45:09 GMT -5
I want to suggest that we keep Alegis alive because he seems logical and trustworthy while offering up a list with none of us on it. If we can keep him making those kind of accusations, we might be able to watch the village kill itself for a few more days.
But I'm looking through the list of other people and nobody else is jumping out at me. Maybe The Anonymous because he voted for kime in 1st place and that gets rid of another trustworthy voice?
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roman
New Member
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Post by roman on Nov 19, 2011 18:32:46 GMT -5
Can we change the alegis kill to Citizen?
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Post by fecklessrogue on Nov 19, 2011 18:35:13 GMT -5
I'm switching it to Anon. And otherwise, we look safe. Excel tells me it is JDark with 11, BL with 8, and Sir Fab with 7 (with Corvidae at 7 as well, just having hit it later.) Barring last minute shenanigans, we live to fight another day.
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